Showing 1 - 10 of 7,363
liquid instrument suffers from liquidity shocks that induce periods of increased volatility and significant return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523414
This paper finds positive evidence of return predictability and investment gains for individual corporate bonds for an extended period from 1973 to 2017. Our sample consists of both public and private company bond observations. We have implemented multiple machine learning methods and designed a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221229
Harvey, Liu, and Zhu (2016) “argue that most claimed research findings in financial economics are likely false.” Surprisingly, their false discovery rate (FDR) estimates suggest most are true. I revisit their results by developing non- and semi-parametric FDR estimators that account for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013214199
With approximately 900 million observations we conduct, to our knowledge, the largest study ever of intraday stock return predictability using machine learning techniques finding consistent out-of-sample predictability across market, sector, and individual stock returns at various time horizons....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349804
A rapidly growing literature has documented important improvements in volatility measurement and forecasting … provides a practical framework for non-parametrically measuring the jump component in realized volatility measurements … an easy-to-implement reduced form model for realized volatility results in highly significant jump coefficient estimates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009764770
leverage effect and the volatility feedback effect. We stress the importance of distinguishing between realized volatility and … implied volatility, and find that implied volatilities are essential for assessing the volatility feedback effect. The … leverage hypothesis asserts that return shocks lead to changes in conditional volatility, while the volatility feedback effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128856
This article empirically investigates the volatility spillover of stock returns from the market to disaggregated … from 1973 to 2008. The key findings are two-fold. In the UK, whilst some industries are more sensitive to market volatility … volatility of foreign markets seems to have more impact than the domestic markets on some key industries in the US, suggesting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119767
We analyze the relationship between implied volatility and subsequent equity markets excess returns. We find that high … readings of implied volatility have a strong correlation with positive and economically sizable returns in the subsequent 1, 5 … volatility instead of the implied volatility of at-the-money straddles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899390
Following recent advances in the non-parametric realized volatility approach, we separately measure the discontinuous … volatility models. We analyze the distributional properties of the jump measures vis-à-vis the corresponding realized volatility … accuracy of high-frequency volatility models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004411
We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes … inter-dependencies among the shocks to returns and the two different volatility components. The model estimates suggest that … the leverage effect, or asymmetry between returns and volatility, works primarily through the continuous volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217079