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focus first on the determinants of the market value of each company using the cointegrated VAR/VECM methodology. Then we … specifiy the conditional variances of VECM residuals with the Constant Conditional Correlation (CCC) multivariate GARCH model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011603089
We propose a comprehensive treatment of the leverage effect, i.e. the relationship between returns and volatility of a specific asset, focusing on energy commodities futures, namely Brent and WTI crude oils, natural gas and heating oil. After estimating the volatility process without assuming...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407507
This study examines the inter-temporal links between world oil prices, ISE 100 and ISE electricity index returns unadjusted and adjusted for market effects. The traditional approaches could not detect a causal relationship running from oil returns to any of the stock returns. However, when we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857517
In this paper we estimate the skewness of the marginal distribution of energy returns and test its statistical significance. We use traditional tests of symmetry but we also estimate a TGARCH model assuming a Gram-Charlier distribution for the innovations. Our results show that crude oil (Brent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312454
This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012029331
In this paper we estimate the skewness of the unconditional distribution of energy returns and test its statistical significance. We compare the performance of traditional and robust tests for symmetry with those based on the implied unconditional skewness in a TGARCH model with Gram-Charlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405890
We propose several multivariate variance ratio statistics. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the statistics and scalar functions thereof under the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable after a constant mean adjustment (i.e., under the Efficient Market Hypothesis). We do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365211
We propose several multivariate variance ratio statistics. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the statistics and scalar functions thereof under the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable after a constant mean adjustment (i.e., under the weak form Efficient Market Hypothesis). We do...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010496122
Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
This paper proposes a new time-deformation model for stock returns sampled in transaction time and directed by a generalized duration process. Stochastic volatility in this model is driven by an observed duration process and a latent autoregressive process. Parameter estimation in the model is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084127