We show in a simple framework that momentum trading can exist in equilibrium and momentum trading is profitable. Properties of the model fit the empirics well. First, the model captures in a parsimonious manner both short-term overreaction and long-term reversals. Second, it predicts that...

This paper exploits information from the variance-ratios of macroeconomic variables to infer about the short and long-run components of dividend risk and inflation risk. While labor rigidity shifts dividend risk towards the short horizon, it also reveals - by means of labor-share variation - the...

This paper studies asset pricing implications of heterogeneity across capital inputs. We build a general equilibrium model including two types of capital. The agents in our economy have Epstein and Zin (1989) preferences and technology is exposed to long-run risks in productivity growth....

We examine asset prices in a representative-agent model of general equilibrium. Assuming only that individuals are risk averse, we determine conditions on the changes in asset risk that are both necessary and sufficient for the asset price to fall. We show that these conditions neither imply,...

We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...

Equilibrium asset-pricing models with time-varying expected economic growth have been criticized for their apparent inability to generate an upward-sloping yield curve and downward-sloping term structures of equity risk and risk premium. We theoretically investigate the model-implied equilibrium...

I develop an analytical general-equilibrium model to explain economic sources of business-cycle pattern of aggregate stock market returns. With concave production functions and capital accumulation, a technology shock has a pro-cyclical direct effect and a counter-cyclical indirect effect on...

We propose a single-factor asset pricing model based on an indicator function of consumption growth being less than its endogenous certainty equivalent. This certainty equivalent is derived from generalized disappointment aversion preferences, and it is located approximately one standard...

This paper exploits information from the variance-ratios of macroeconomic variables to infer about the short and long-run components of dividend risk and inflation risk. While labor rigidity shifts dividend risk towards the short horizon, it also reveals -- by means of labor-share variation --...

I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model that jointly explains the high equity premium, the counter-cyclical behaviour of stock returns, the upward sloping term structure of interest rates and the downward sloping term structure of equity. The driving forces behind these results are...