This study assesses the economic implications of China's changing population in the 21st century using a numerical general equilibrium model. The simulations show that lower fertility rates yield lower saving rates. Since lower fertility rates reduce the future supply of labor, capital will...

Yield curves are used to imply the forward rates and discount factors from market tradable instruments and are required to discount future cash flows and evaluate the price of all financial contracts. Not all instruments can be included in the yield curve calibration or fitting process, hence we...

Investors have increasingly become interested in macroeconomic antecedents in order to better understand the investment environment and estimate the scope of profitable investment in equity markets. This study endeavors to examine the interdependency between the macroeconomic antecedents...

This paper focuses on the investment behavior of pension funds in developed and emerging market countries. First, it analyzes the main determinants of the emerging market asset allocation of pension funds in developed countries. Second, it assesses how pension funds in emerging markets have...

Based on a new approach for measuring the comovements between stock market returns, we provide a nonparametric test for asymmetric comovements in the sense that stock market downturns will lead to stronger comovements than market upturns. The test is used to detect whether asymmetric comovements...

We are the first to investigate the cross-section of stock returns in the new emerging equity markets, the so-called frontier emerging markets. Our unique survivorship-bias free data set consists of more than 1,400 stocks over the period 1997 to 2008 and covers 24 of the most liquid frontier...

Are the returns of Chinese ADRs more affected by the U.S. stock market or their underlying home market? Since there is non-synchronous trading between U.S. and the Chinese stock markets, we decompose the Chinese ADR daily returns into day and night returns to investigate the different market...

This research examines the dynamic relationship between foreign portfolio equity flows and equity returns on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). The primary objective of this research is to uncover how equity market returns influence foreign cross border portfolio equity flows and in turn how...

This paper builds on the recent debate on the in-sample and out-of-sample predictability of US aggregate returns using a wide range of predictors by providing new evidence for smaller and less market-oriented European countries. We find evidence that macro and technical predictors can...

Purpose: To dissect the dynamic linkages between foreign equity flows, exchange rates and equity returns in the Philippines.Design/Methodology/Approach: Using a parsimonious SVARX-GARCH model and unique daily equity flow data this research models the relationship between net equity flows,...