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The paper presents a new approach to optimizing automatic transactional systems. We propose a multi-stage technique which enables us to find investment strategies beating the market. Additionally, new measures of combined risk and returns are applied in the process of optimization. Moreover, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993037
The current study examines the turn of the month effect on stock returns in 20 countries. This will allow us to explore whether the seasonal patterns usually found in global data; America, Australia, Europe and Asia. Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) is problematic as it leads to unreliable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509192
The aim of the paper is to study empirically the influence of higher moments of the return distribution on conditional value at risk (CVaR). To be more exact, we attempt to reveal the extent to which the risk given by CVaR can be estimated when relying on the mean, standard deviation, skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003838424
An alternative definition for market efficiency, based on econometric rather than financial arguments is suggested. It is argued that this new definition, though equivalent to the existing one, has some comparative advantages. Moreover, the conditions under which the results from the application...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404637
We use a quantile-based measure of conditional skewness (or asymmetry) that is robust to outliers and therefore particularly suited for recalcitrant series such as emerging market returns. Our study is on the following portfolio returns: developed markets, emerging markets, the world, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009009566
For central banks, institutional, and individual investors, it is crucial to understand the frequency and importance of drops or sudden rises in financial markets. Extreme value theory (EVT) is an interesting tool providing answers to questions such as: With what frequency do we find variations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131901
This paper examines exchange rate exposure of country level stock returns in three emerging market economies: Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. The analysis is carried out at country level using stock indexes and trade-weighted exchange rates. Time-varying exchange rate exposure coefficients are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033258
In almost all stages of forecasting volatility, certain subjective decisions need to be made. Despite of an enormous literature in the area, these subjectivities are hindrances to reaching an overall conclusion on the performances of the models. In order to find out outperforming model in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009743532
The KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) 200 options are one of the most actively traded derivatives in the world. This paper empirically examines (a) the statistical properties of the Korea's representative implied volatility index (VKOSPI) derived from the KOSPI 200 options and (b) the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376746
This paper attempts to fit the best Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model for All Share Index (ASI) of Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) returns. A search is made on various GARCH variants specified on the assumptions of stationarity and asymmetry. Fractionally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474661