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disappear when controlling for measures of uncertainty such as stock price volatility. Swiss bond prices rose when stock market … volatility was high thus offering insurance in times of uncertainty. …
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We propose a consumption-based model that allows for an inverted term structure of real and nominal risk-free rates. In our framework the agent is subject to time-varying macroeconomic risk and interest rates at all maturities depend on her risk perception which shape saving propensities over...
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We investigate the uncertainty dynamics surrounding extreme weather events through the lens of option and stock markets … by identifying market responses to the uncertainty regarding both potential hurricane landfall and subsequent economic … 5-10 percent, reflecting impact uncertainty. Using hurricane forecasts, we show that landfall uncertainty and potential …
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