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Foreign exchange predictability during the financial crisis : implications for carry trade profitability
Anatolyev, Stanislav; Gospodinov, Nikolaj; Jamali, Ibrahim - 2015
flexible approach to modeling currency returns. We decompose the currency returns into multiplicative sign and absolute return … components, which exhibit much greater predictability than raw returns. We allow the two components to respond to currency …-adjusted) profitability when trading individual currencies or forming currency portfolios based on the predicted returns from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011313235
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Can implied volatility predict returns on the currency carry trade?
Egbers, Tom; Swinkels, Laurens - In: Journal of banking & finance 59 (2015), pp. 14-26
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544270
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Foreign exchange risk and the predictability of carry trade returns
Cenedese, Gino; Sarno, Lucio; Tsiakas, Ilias - In: Journal of banking & finance 42 (2014), pp. 302-313
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010408374
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Multivariate density forecast evaluation and calibration in financial risk management : high-frequency returns on foreign exchange
Diebold, Francis X.; Hahn, Jinyong; Tay, Anthony S. A. - In: The review of economics and statistics 81 (1999) 4, pp. 661-673
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001437391
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Foreign Exchange Risk and the Predictability of Carry Trade Returns
Cenedese, Gino - 2014
This paper provides an empirical investigation of the time-series predictive ability of foreign exchange risk measures on the return to the carry trade, a popular investment strategy that borrows in low-interest currencies and lends in high-interest currencies. Using quantile regressions, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066169
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Exchange rate predictability, common factors, and applications in carry trade
Ogruk-Maz, Gokcen; Wu, Shengxiong; Yildirim, Sinan - In: International journal of monetary economics and finance … 13 (2020) 6, pp. 513-530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012515315
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Predictability in international stock returns using currency fluctuations and forward rate forecasts
Wang, Jiexin; Han, Xue; Huang, Emily J.; Yost-Bremm, Chris - In: The North American journal of economics and finance : a … 52 (2020), pp. 1-21
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012656847
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Tales of tails : jumps in currency markets
Lee, Suzanne S.; Wang, Minho - In: Journal of financial markets 48 (2020), pp. 1-29
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012631807
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On the predictability of the distribution of excess returns in currency markets
Cho, Dooyeon - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 2, pp. 511-530
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792849
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Foreign exchange return predictability : rational expectations risk premium vs. expectational errors
Moon, Seongman - In: East Asian economic review 22 (2018) 4, pp. 467-505
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998656