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I generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences from Klibanoff et al. (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model is as tractable but more flexible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617667
between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying … idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit independent switches between a high and low volatility regime, we show that the options …' constant expected returns are composed of (i) a state dependent drift term that relates positively with the volatility regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109188
We investigate the informational content of credit default swap (CDS) spreads for future volatility of (firm) assets … and equity. In the cross-section, CDS spreads are significantly more informative about future asset than equity volatility … fundamental difference in the cross-sectional predictability of asset and equity volatility. This difference lies in the leverage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848868
We generalize the long-run risks (LRR) model in Bansal and Yaron (2004) by incorporating the recursive smooth ambiguity aversion preferences of Klibanoff, Marinacci, and Mukerji (2005, 2009) and time-varying ambiguity. Relative to the Bansal-Yaron model, the generalized LRR model remains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012896734
We develop a firm valuation model with repeated expansion and contraction options to show operating profitability is a proxy for time-varying systematic risk. Relative to riskier assets, the proportionate value of contraction options increase as profitability falls, lowering the firm beta....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026825
By means of a difference-in-differences approach (sigma-DID), we investigate the effect that hedging has on corporate risk. Examining the relation between hedging and the idiosyncratic variance of stock returns, we show that when new commodity derivatives are introduced in the Chicago Mercantile...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899849
This study extends the Grullon, Michaely and Swaminathan (2002) analysis by incorporating default risk. Using data for firms that either increased or initiated cash dividend payments during the 23-year period 1986-2008, we find reduction in default risk. This reduction is shown to be a priced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014192535
law of one price, and is present in all but risk-neutral economies. We test the cross-sectional predictions of our theory … equity than for assets, and stronger for more levered firms — consistent with the theory. We test also the timeseries … implications of the theory. Time variation in asset ivol causes time variation in the option value of equity that translates into …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
We derive a model of bond pricing under ambiguity, showing that ambiguity interacts with risk to determine spreads. Since default is an inherently "unfavorable" outcome, ambiguity-averse bondholders overweigh its probability and demand higher yields for bonds with higher ambiguity.Empirically,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013295795
real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734