A high growth rate in labor hours per worker signals low future stock market returns and high future hiring. In the presence of an increase in the number of labor hours per worker, hiring becomes less responsive to the future discount rate. The growth rate in the number of labor hours per worker...

Despite its importance for the analysis of life-cycle behavior and, in particular, retirement planning, stock ownership by private households is poorly understood. Among other approaches to investigate this puzzle, recent research has started to elicit private households' expectations of stock...

Despite its importance for the analysis of life-cycle behavior and, in particular, retirement planning, stock ownership by private households is poorly understood. Among other approaches to investigate these puzzles, recent research has started to elicit private households’ expectations of...

Using transaction-level credit card spending from a large US financial institution, we show that disaggregated sales provide accurate and persistent signals of customer demand relevant to a firm's stock pricing. After controlling for earnings and sales surprises, one inter-quintile increase in...