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large economies, USA, United Kingdom, Germany, France and Japan. The empirical results show that although the pure NGARCH … model performs well, the estimation for the German stock index could be significantly improved by an extension which follows …
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Density forecasts have become quite important in economics and finance. For example, such forecasts play a central role in modern financial risk management techniques like Value at Risk. This paper suggests a regression based density forecast evaluation framework as a simple alternative to other...
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This paper questions traditional approaches for testing the day-of-the-week effect on stock returns. We propose an alternative approach based on the closure test principle introduced by Marcus, Peritz and Gabriel (1976), which has become very popular in Biometrics and Medical Statistics. We test...
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