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volatility. Bekaert, Hodrick, and Zhang (2012) showed the high correlation across countries, documenting how most of the time … volatility per se but the dramatic increase in correlation between and within stock markets. A phenomenon interpreted by the … the increase in correlation during period of crisis. They found that markets tend to behave as one in time of crisis. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995015
Global asset allocation provides risk diversification. But international market correlation increases sharply during … global crises and diversification benefit disappears when it is most needed. We model these correlation breaks and derive the … asset allocation implications. The model can quickly detect crises and suggests adapting allocation for changing correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927418
impact on stock return correlations than shocks to futures. We confirm the model predictions by studying the correlation of U …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004525
The capital markets in general, and the equity markets in particular, exhibit a well-known phenomenon: During times of distress, intra-market correlations tighten, as traded assets exhibit a greater sensitivity to the "systematic factor." This paper extends that analysis to the corporate bond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962679
) stock-bond correlation forecasts falling 10-year interest rates over the coming weeks, and it also forecasts a falling 1 …-year interest rates over the next year. The reverse is true when the stock-bond correlation is higher (more positive … markets and/or policymakers' under-reaction to the changing economic conditions implied by the stock-bond correlation; and (2 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970361
volatilities and the stock-bond correlation. I show that the stock-bond correlation increases in interest rate volatility and … decreases in cash-flow volatility. These results qualitatively explain the historical variation in the stock-bond correlation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917061
Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741
Because levered equity is an option on the firm, variations in asset idiosyncratic risk (ivol) induces a negative relationship between equity ivol and expected returns. We show that the effect is caused by the nonlinear payoff of equity and the law of one price, and is present in all but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910108
We study the equilibrium implications of a multi-asset economy in which asset managers are subject to different benchmarks, and demonstrate how heterogeneous benchmarking generates a mechanism through which fundamental shocks propagate across assets. Fluctuations in asset managers' capital...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910534
We investigate the sources of time-variation in the stock-oil correlation over the period 1983-2019. We first derive a …. We find that about 79% of the time-varying correlation is related to the comovement of cash flow news between the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492254