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We identify a strong presence of sentiment exposure in commodity futures returns. Sentiment is able to provide additional explanatory power for comovement among commodity futures beyond the macro- and equity-related sources. Commodity futures with low open interest growth, high volatilities, low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013008486
The detrended implied volatility of commodity options (VOL) forecasts the cross section of the commodity futures returns significantly. A zero-cost strategy that is long in low VOL and short in high VOL commodities yields an annualized return of 12.66% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.69. Notably, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014122276
We study the implications of interfirm product market linkages for dependence among the daily stock returns of US publicly traded firms using a spatial econometric regression. The effects of rivals and major customers change with various characteristics related to the product market network. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932947
We model the immediate responses of firms’ daily idiosyncratic stock returns to the idiosyncratic returns of the firms’ rivals, using spatial econometric techniques. Contagion effect of rivals dominates competitive effect, and the net effect is larger when firms respond to negative return...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013293703