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In this paper we survey the theoretical and empirical literatures on market liquidity. We organize both literatures around three basic questions: (a) how to measure illiquidity, (b) how illiquidity relates to underlying market imperfections and other asset characteristics, and (c) how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025359
Sentiment should exhibit its strongest effects on asset prices at times when valuations are most subjective. Consistent with this hypothesis, we show that a one-standard-deviation increase in aggregate uncertainty amplifies the predictive ability of sentiment for market returns by two to four...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012216707
This study investigates holidays’ effect in analyst recommendations in the MENA countries stock markets between 2004 and 2015. The findings show that on Pre-Holidays, analysts tend to issue pessimistic recommendations, and issue optimistic recommendations on Post- Holidays. Prior literature on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820770
Empirical tests of the efficient market hypothesis (EMH) have been repeated by many researchers with varying results, with several supporting it and others finding no clear evidence for it. One of the results that weakens the EMH is the study of such anomalies as the Ramadan effect. Anomaly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011820977
Long-short anomaly returns are strongly related to the day of the week. Anomalies for which the speculative leg is the short (long) leg experience the highest (lowest) returns on Monday. The opposite pattern is observed on Fridays. The effects are large; Monday (Friday) alone accounts for over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011810889
The paper proposes an elementary agent-based asset pricing model that, invoking the two trader types of fundamentalists and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise to a macroscopic adjustment equation for the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784945
We explore the possibility that overnight returns can serve as a measure of firm-specific investor sentiment by analyzing whether they exhibit characteristics expected of a sentiment measure. First, we document short-term persistence in overnight returns, consistent with existing evidence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856362
Revisions of consensus forecasts of macroeconomic variables positively predict announcement day forecast errors, whereas stock market returns on forecast revision days negatively predict announcement day returns. A dynamic noisy rational expectations model with periodic macroeconomic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846330
Presentation Slides for "Overconfidence, Arbitrage, and Equilibrium Asset Pricing" This paper offers a model in which asset prices reflect both covariance risk and misperceptions of firmsapos prospects, and in which arbitrageurs trade against mispricing. In equilibrium, expected returns are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918741