We explore whether there are common factors in the cross-section of individual commodity futures returns. We test various asset pricing models which have been employed for the equities market as well as models motivated by commodity pricing theories. The use of these families of models allows us...

Chinese futures markets for agricultural commodities are among the fastest growing futures markets in the world and trading behaviour in those markets is perceived as highly speculative. Therefore, we empirically investigate whether speculative activity in Chinese futures markets for...

In this paper we investigate risk premiums in commodity convenience yields. The analysis consists of two steps. First, we use a three-factor model to extract monthly convenience yields from a broad sample of commodity futures. Second, we estimate multi-factor asset pricing models with...

Gorton and Rouwenhorst (2006) examined commodity futures returns over the period July 1959 to December 2004 based on an equally-weighted index. They found that fully collateralized commodity futures had historically offered the same return and Sharpe ratio as U.S. equities, but were negatively...

We explore whether there are common factors in the cross-section of individual commodity futures returns. We test various asset pricing models which have been employed for the equities market as well as models motivated by commodity pricing theories. The use of these families of models allows us...

This paper studies optimal calendar spreads in commodity futures markets while taking into account a stochastic convenience yield. We show that a convenience yield imperfectly correlated with the spot commmodity price results in an optimal strategy composed of two commodity futures contracts....

This paper investigates the performance of three different trading strategies – Jegadeesh and Titman (1993), George and Hwang (2004) and Gatev, Goetzmann and Rouwenhorst (2006) – in 29 commodity futures from January 1979 to October 2017. We find there is no significant reversal profit across...

Using hand-collected data of commodity futures contracts going back to 1877, we replicate in the pre-sample history the well-documented cross-sectional commodity factor premia of momentum, value and basis. All three premia remain significantly positive in the additional 80-plus years of...

This study examines time-series momentum in the Chinese commodity futures market. The findings show that a time-series momentum strategy performs best with a one-month look-back period and a one-month holding period. Furthermore, this strategy outperforms passive long and cross-sectional...