Showing 1 - 10 of 3,490
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399
(Applied Financial Economics, 13, 693-700, 2003) on inflation and output on stock returns and volatility is extended by … inflation, output growth, and interest rate, has weak predictor power on stock market volatility and returns. In line with the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143522
This paper examines the relation between variations in perceived inflation uncertainty and bond premia. Using the … average individual uncertainty about inflation forecasts since 1968. We show that this ex-ante measure of inflation … uncertainty differs importantly from measures of disagreement regarding inflation forecasts and other proxies, such as model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010441139
by modelling the time-varying dynamics of asset returns and inflation, and then estimating the cost of hedging in ation … inflation risks are not necessarily reduced with the inclusion of real estate assets in the minimum variance portfolio. Our … investors for holding the less attractive inflation-linked debt asset. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241109
Inflation risk is greatest in times of national or global stress; inflation risk is a form of a “tail risk.” A … traditional portfolio of stocks and bonds is exposed to inflation risk. The specific nature of an investor's liabilities and … spending determines inflation sensitivity beyond that of the asset portfolio. Commodities and TIPS are the most effective short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013103540
We show that at-the-money implied volatility of options on futures of 5-year Treasury notes (Treasury ‘yield implied volatility') predicts both the growth rate and volatility of gross domestic product, as well as of other macroeconomic variables, like industrial production, consumption, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012854000
In this paper, we examine if COVID-19 has impacted the relationship between oil prices and stock returns predictions using daily Japanese stock market data from 01/04/2020 to 03/17/2021. We make a novel contribution to the literature by testing whether the COVID-19 pandemic has changed this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617355
In this research paper ARCH-type models and option implied volatilities (IV) are applied in order to estimate the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a stock index futures portfolio for several time horizons. The relevance of the asymmetries in the estimated volatility estimation is considered. The empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012292347
Business cycles are a central element of the economy. Over the last decades, more and more sophisticated methods and data have become available for business cycle classification. This paper contributes to the field of business cycle and recession estimation by applying a fuzzy c-means clustering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012912821
This paper highlights the use of a new strategic approach within a quantitative investment methodology in the context of making prudent asset allocation decisions. Three asset classes will frame the dynamic asset allocation discussion: Equities, Fixed Income, and Hedge Funds. The quantitative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003309