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In this paper, we use a modified concept of Granger-(non)causality in reconsidering the negative correlation between stock returns and inflation known in the literature as stock return-inflation puzzle. Based on the quarterly data for Germany including stock returns, inflation rates and growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001746405
This paper studies the real mutual fund performance accounting for the presences of lucky funds. We quantify the impact of luck with an innovative measure built on False Discovery Rate (FDR). These FDR measures compute the number and the proportion of fund with truly positive and negative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014176700
This article investigates whether or not the Nepalese stock market is efficient in weak form with respect to economically neutral behavioural variables. Simple OLS technique with White's heteroskedasticity-corrected standard errors is used to test the relationship between stock returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014050409
Empirical findings related to the time series properties of stock returns volatility indicate autocorrelations that decay slowly at long lags. In light of this, several long-memory models have been proposed. However, the possibility of level shifts has been advanced as a possible explanation for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217128
This paper investigates international index return predictability using option-implied information. We document the significant predictive power of the variance risk premium (VRP), Foster-Hart risk (FH), and higher-order moments for horizons ranging from 1 to 250 days. Our results from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014112697
Most investment decisions focus on a forecast of future events that is either explicit or implicit. Generally asset pricing models postulate a positive relationship between a stock portfolio's expected returns and risk, which is often modeled by the variance of the asset price. The essence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997037
The asymmetry in the tail dependence between U.S. equity portfolios and the aggregate U.S. market is a well-established property. Given the limited number of observations in the tails of a joint distribution, standard non-parametric measures of tail dependence have poor finite-sample properties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013006268
In an intertemporal equilibrium asset pricing model featuring disappointment aversion and changing macroeconomic uncertainty, we show that besides the market return and market volatility, three disappointment-related factors are also priced: a downstate factor, a market downside factor, and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963402