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This paper investigates the predictive ability of international volatility risk for the daily aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We employ the innovations in implied volatility indices of seven major international markets as our international volatility risk proxies. We find that...
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We propose an employee sentiment index, which complements investor sentiment and manager sentiment indices, and find that high employee sentiment predicts a subsequent low market return, significant both in- and out-of-sample. The predictability of the employee sentiment index can also deliver...
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In this study, we separately estimate the implied volatility from bid prices and ask prices ofdeep out-of-the-money (OTM) put options on the S&P500 index. We find that the impliedvolatility of ask prices has stronger stock return predictability than that of bid prices. Our finding is robust to...
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