Showing 1 - 10 of 13,082
Using a unique data set of individual professional forecasts, we document disagreement about the future path of monetary policy, particularly at longer horizons. The stark differences in short rate forecasts imply strong disagreement about the risk-return trade-off of longer-term bonds....
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Using microdata on stock-level lending positions from German mutual funds, we show that active funds use the equity lending market to obtain information about short sale demand. Funds reduce long positions in response to these demand signals, which allows fund managers to front-run public...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014501098
While international portfolios are still heavily biased towards home assets, the home bias has exhibited a clear downward trend in the last few decades. Interestingly, the underlying rise in foreign investment has been primarily directed to just a handful of OECD countries, and has not given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969157
We propose a simple measure of investor sophistication based on financial statement experience derived from publicly available EDGAR log data about accounting information acquisition activity. This approach allows us to provide unique empirical evidence for the existence of attention induced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236779
This study proposes and validates “other information” in analysts' forecasts as a legitimate proxy for future cash flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains information about fundamentals beyond that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075116
future returns and the PE ratio and consumption growth forecast future consumption growth. The model amplifies return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054127
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110732
wide selection of countries. We expand the Sum-of-Parts (SoP) method for forecasting stock returns to an international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403620