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We show that after monetary policy announcements, the conditional volatility of stock market returns rises more for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974569
This paper studies the effects of FOMC communication on U.S. financial markets’ returns and volatility using a GARCH … and volatility is larger if the communication channel is more formal. However, since speeches happen much more often than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864447
equity market returns and volatility over the period 1998–2006. First, both types of news have a significant impact on market … reports lowers price volatility. Finally, American emerging markets react more to U.S. news than non-American markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003852244
The paper investigates the effect of monetary policy uncertainty on stock market volatility. Higher monetary … uncertainty leads to lower stock market volatility both in sample and out of sample. Monetary policy uncertainty matters more for … the volatility of big firms, profitable firms and past winner firms. The channel of future cash flow volatility helps …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307935
We study how monetary policy and risk shocks affect asset prices in the US, the euro area, and Japan, differentiating between "traditional" monetary policy and communication events, each decomposed into "pure" and information shocks. Communication shocks from the US spill over to risk in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014483035
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with timevarying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
A large literature uses high-frequency changes in interest rates around FOMC announcements to study monetary policy. These yield changes have puzzlingly low explanatory power for the stock market - even in a narrow 30-minute window. We propose a new approach to test whether the unexplained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013236450
A feature of recent monetary policy asset purchase programmes is the reinvestment policy: the central bank announces to keep the overall volume of assets on its balance sheet constant for some time. In this paper, we systematically assess the macroeconomic effects of such reinvestment policies....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013460153