The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...

Stock investments have become increasingly international, but only recently a deeper theoretical understanding of the forces influencing global stock market returns has been gained from empirical studies. This is a crucial issue for asset managers in order to control the risks and exposures of...

Inaugural -Dissertation zur Erlangung des Grades eines Doktors der Wirtschafts -und Sozialwissenschaften der Wirtschafts -und Sozialwissenschaftlichen Fakultät der Christian -Albrechts -Universität zu Kiel The objective of this study is the development and application of models for financial...