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Are CDS spreads predictable? : an analysis of linear and non-linear forecasting models

Avino, Davide; Nneji, Ogonna - In: International review of financial analysis 34 (2014), pp. 262-274

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529033

Stock returns and valuation ratios at sector level in South Africa : the regime-switch modelling approach

Chipunza, Kudakwashe Joshua; Muguto, Hilary Tinotenda; … - In: Global business review 26 (2025) 1, pp. 69-84

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015329850

Analyst's stock views and revision actions

Li, Tao - In: Finance research letters 44 (2022), pp. 1-8

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014494726

Predictability of bull and bear markets : a new look at forecasting stock market regimes (and returns) in the US

Haase, Felix; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2021 - This Version: January 8, 2021

The empirical literature of stock market predictability mainly suffers from model uncertainty and parameter instability. To meet this challenge, we propose a novel approach that combines the documented merits of diffusion indices, regime-switching models, and forecast combination to predict the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180543

Improving quantile forecasts via realized double hysteretic GARCH model in stock markets

Chen, Cathy W. S.; Chien, Cindy T. H. - In: Computational economics 64 (2024) 6, pp. 3447-3471

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015144246

A Markov-switching multifractal approach to forecasting realized volatility

Lux, Thomas; Morales-Arias, Leonardo; Sattarhoff, Cristina - 2011

The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by means of best linear forecasts derived via the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009314521