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We review the literature on return and cash flow growth predictability form the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132300
factors. This paper builds a theoretical model to forecast excess returns on treasury bonds in the context of China's unique …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133733
returns and able to impressively predict future returns, this study examines these trading characteristics during both the … trading day and the after-hours period. Interestingly, we find short sellers are less contrarian and subsequently more …-hours trading than during regular trading hours. These results indicate that higher levels of information asymmetry and price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119499
We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. We use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns as in previous work. Our conditioning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120594
We use a standard consumption-based asset pricing model incorporating conditioning information to explain the risk-return profile of currency carry trade portfolios. We use a scaled stochastic discount factor instead of scaled or managed portfolio returns as in previous work. Our conditioning...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101597
This study tests the performance of stock market forecasts derived from technical analysis by means of a specific …. Two test statistics are introduced to utilize the indicator. The results show that the forecasts generated from the … indicator would enable investors to escape most of the crashes and catch most of the bull runs. The trading signals provided by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088794
analyst report readability reduces forecast dispersion but is not associated with revision news, and that market reactions are … forecast dispersion predicted by report readability. Finally, the positive effect of readability on stock prices is higher when … more R&D spending, when transaction costs are higher, when analysts are more experienced, or when forecasts are issued …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013089549
significantly forecast mutual-fund returns from April 2008 to March 2011 for Indian market. The indicator of monetary conditions, i ….e., the MIBOR premium, is found to have the strongest forecast power. Multivariate analysis confirms that the four predictors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066504
decision as an exogenous shock, I find that cross-predictability is weaker for firms that are restricted from actively engaging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907316
We have seen China's growing role in the past decades, and the world economy has become more exposed to the influence of China. This paper explores emerging China's impact on the global equity market through the lens of asset pricing. We study the predictive properties of the lagged China...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824300