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of volatility in finance for portfolio allocation, derivative pricing and risk management. The method has a two … average realized volatility processes can achieve a convergence rate close to OP(n−4/9) , which is better than the convergence … based on average realized volatility processes indeed performs better than that based on the price processes. Empirically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568279
The paper examines the relative performance of Stochastic Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional … Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) (1,1) models fitted to ten years of daily data for FTSE. As a benchmark, we used the realized volatility (RV … two standard volatility models if the simple expedient of using lagged squared demeaned daily returns provides a better RV …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203997
We are comparing two approaches for stochastic volatility and jumps estimation in the EUR/USD time series - the non …) using daily returns. We find that both of the methods do identify continuous stochastic volatility similarly, but they do … the continuous volatility) on the daily frequency. As an additional result we find strong evidence for jump size …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030080
Despite the growing interest in realized stochastic volatility models, their estimation techniques, such as simulated … maximum likelihood (SML), are computationally intensive. Based on the realized volatility equation, this study demonstrates … quasi-likelihood ratio tests favored the two-factor realized asymmetric stochastic volatility model with the standardized t …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014425668
We introduce a statistical test for simultaneous jumps in the price of a financial asset and its volatility process … volatility jumps, we design and analyze a nonparametric spectral estimator of the spot volatility process. A simulation study and … important role played by price volatility co-jumps. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384595
This paper considers spot variance path estimation from datasets of intraday high frequency asset prices in the presence of diurnal variance patterns, jumps, leverage effects and microstructure noise. We rely on parametric and nonparametric methods. The estimated spot variance path can be used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011379469
The persistent nature of equity volatility is investigated by means of a multi-factor stochastic volatility model with … model a time-varying generalization of the HAR model for the realized volatility series. It emerges that during the recent … stochastic volatility model suggest that the change in the dynamic structure of the realized volatility during the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010402299
frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information … content of realized volatility measures extracted from high-frequency data. For this purpose, we introduce asymptotically … exact volatility measurement equations in state space form and propose a Bayesian estimation approach. Our highly efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with time-varying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842441
In this paper we develop a general framework to analyze state space models with timevarying system matrices where time variation is driven by the score of the conditional likelihood. We derive a new filter that allows for the simultaneous estimation of the state vector and of the time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156426