Using sovereign debt data from 47 countries, we document that the third moment (skewness) of unemployment changes has a positive and significant relation with sovereign bond returns. Thus, while investors require risk premia for exposure to macroeconomic shocks (Campbell, 1996), we find that the...

We model how a cash flow risk exposure is associated with higher bond yield spreads even if the factor is not priced in bond returns. Our model predicts that the absolute values of cash flow exposures are priced in yields. Additionally, we show how yields can provide a test for whether a factor...