Showing 1 - 10 of 14,618
We assess the role played by exchange rates in buffering or amplifying the propagation of shocks across international equity markets. Using copula functions we model the joint dependence between exchange rates and two global equity markets and, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549999
We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850036
obtained from discrete time models by comparing them with high-frequency ex post estimates (e.g. realised volatility) based on … continuous time theory. In explanatory financial variability modelling this raises several methodological and practical issues … illustration provides an example of where an explanatory model outperforms realised volatility ex post. -- Financial variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003829997
the volatility for over hundred countries around the world. We used the monthly political risk data from the International … governance. Further monthly volatility is constructed from the daily exchange rate returns within each month for the period of … the floating exchange rate. The results also confirm that there is more volatility in exchange rate when political …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013023799
discrete time models against high frequency estimates based on continuous time theory. In explanatory financial return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132293
examines how well exchange rate volatility explains movements in stock market returns. The model-based predictions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724429
characterized by dramatic currency volatility. Burdens on the NYSE and home market to restore price parity for cross-listed stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903871
volatility (RV) of ten global stock market indices in the period from January 2000 to December 2021. We train models using a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014076641
Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its … standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility … standardized with its volatility. The statistical properties of the forecast errors point the standardized version as a more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910114
We analyze the impact of Eurozone/Germany and U.S. macroeconomic news announcements and the communication of the monetary policy settings of the ECB and the Fed on the forex markets of new EU members. We employ an Event Study Methodology to analyze intra-day data from 2011-2015. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011568576