In this paper we argue that momentum profits are driven by both past performance and the relative proximity to an available reference point, the 52-week high. We construct momentum-style portfolios that are driven strictly by past returns which we call ‘run' based measures, and compare these...

Many models of investor behavior predict that investors prefer assets that they believe to have positively skewed return distributions. We provide a direct test of this prediction in a representative sample of the Dutch population. Using individual-level data on return expectations for a broad...

Analysis of required expected return disclosures by public pension funds in individual asset classes reveals a reliance on past performance in setting return expectations. These extrapolative expectations operate through the expected risk premium and occur across all risky asset classes. Pension...

Individual investors trade excessively, sell winners too soon, and overweight stocks with lottery features and low expected returns. This paper models a financial innovation to address these biases and improve individual investor performance. Individual investors pledge shares of stock to an...

Behavioral finance lacks direct evidence linking agents’ beliefs to their behaviors. Motivated by revealed preference theories, I provide such evidence using mutual fund stock holdings. Assuming that investors' expectations are consistent with their investment decisions, I relate fund...

I propose and model stock loan lotteries, a financial innovation that improves the welfare of individual investors. Stock loan lotteries are prize-linked payoffs using net rebates from securities lending. Stock loan lotteries motivate individual investors with prospect theory preferences to buy...

In this paper I investigate financial markets with drift and volatility uncertainties. Appropriate definitions of arbitrage for super and sub-hedging strategies are presented such that the super and sub-hedging prices are reasonable. Especially the condition of arbitrage for sub-hedging strategy...

We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...