We develop a four-factor model intended to capture size, value, and credit rating transition patterns in excess returns for a panel of predominantly mid- and large-cap entities. Using credit transition matrices and rating histories from 48 US issuers, we provide evidence to support a...

This study examines the impact of credit rating announcement on stock returns of 22 banks rated by the Pakistan Credit Rating Agency and listed in Karachi Stock Exchange. Daily stock returns have been used, covering period from 2008 to 2014. The study uses event study methodology; a fifteen days...

This paper explains the risk and returns of US corporate bond indices using a set of economically-motivated factors. In particular, I find that options markets explain a great deal of credit returns. Two particular features of corporate bonds generate option exposure. The first is that, in...

We develop a four-factor model intended to capture size, value, and credit rating transition patterns in excess returns for a panel of predominantly mid- and large-cap entities. Using credit transition matrices and rating histories from 48 US issuers, we provide evidence to support a...

Spillover effects from equity momentum to credit markets have been shown to lead to excessive premia and, simultaneously, reduced risk measures in credit securities. Here, we present an intuitive theory for this anomaly based on the premise that equity momentum drives leverage to invoke rating...

Insurance companies often follow highly correlated investment strategies. As major investors in corporate bonds, their investment commonalities subject investors to fire-sale risk when regulatory restrictions prompt widespread divestment of a bond following a rating downgrade. Reflective of...

This paper proposes empirical methods to measure Credit Default Swap (CDS) return and explores its factor structure. We find that approximated CDS returns deviate significantly from actual returns based on the upfront fee, computed with protection sellers' cash flows. Past CDS returns and the...

This study examines the impact of credit rating announcement on stock returns of 22 banks rated by the Pakistan Credit Rating Agency and listed in Karachi Stock Exchange. Daily stock returns have been used, covering period from 2008 to 2014. The study uses event study methodology; a fifteen days...

I demonstrate that much of the time series variation in the credit spread on high yield bonds is attributable to changes in the “credit risk premium” rather than changes in expected default losses. The credit risk premium is the expected excess return investors earn from bearing default risk...

Expectations of risky bond payments are unobservable and recovery rates for sovereigns are hard to estimate because they have no contractual claims to defined assets and samples of defaults are limited. A geometric version of credit spread is used to derive expected payments, dependent on...