This paper introduces a new trading strategy in investment: to include the asset (Asset A) with the highest mean, the asset (Asset B) that stochastically dominates many other assets, and the asset (Asset C) with the smallest standard deviation in their portfolio to form the portfolio in the...

This paper introduces a new trading strategy in investment: to include the asset (Asset A) with the highest mean, the asset (Asset B) that stochastically dominates many other assets, and the asset (Asset C) with the smallest standard deviation in their portfolio to form the portfolio in the...

I propose a consumption-based asset pricing model in which the decision maker prices contingent cash flows realized at different future horizons and exposed to multiple shocks. The decision maker ignores the objective probability generating the data, and she evaluates a set of models that is...

We analyze the inflation-hedging properties of US stocks, bonds, and T-bills at the subindex level during the 1983 – 2012 period, for investment horizons between 1 month and 10 years. Bonds other than T-bills turn out poor inflation hedges during the entire sample period, regardless of the...

This paper studies return predictability in federal funds futures. I show that over the period 1990 to 2018, predictor variables from the literature do not consistently outperform the expectations hypothesis when evaluated out-of-sample. Further, while forecasts from advanced forecasting methods...

We give explicit algorithms and source code for extracting factors underlying Treasury yields using (unsupervised) machine learning (ML) techniques, such as nonnegative matrix factorization (NMF) and (statistically deterministic) clustering. NMF is a popular ML algorithm (used in computer...

Many individuals rely on annuity purchases to provide a steady stream of income during their post-retirement years. Life insurance companies provide a variety of annuity contracts but often come with sizable fees that are extremely detrimental to the purchaser in a low interest rate environment....

In this study, the Consumption-oriented Capital Asset Pricing Model (CCAPM) is tested for Nigeria by considering returns on investments in the Nigerian Stock Exchange market and other financial assets for the period 1993: Q1 to 2016:Q4. Three tests are conducted. The first test examines forecast...