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We comprehensively analyze the predictive power of several option implied variables for monthly S & P 500 excess returns and realized variance. The correlation risk premium (CRP) emerges as a strong predictor of both excess returns and realized variance. This is true both in- and out-of-sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751188
premium. Volatility decreases the options-leverage of equity, which decreases expected return. At the same time, volatility … increases value for equities with options features and, thus, it increases market/book. Because volatility has opposite impacts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034933
This research considers the strategies on the initial public offering of company equity at the stock exchanges in the imperfect highly volatile global capital markets with the nonlinearities. We provide the IPO definition and compare the initial listing requirements on the various markets. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026463
This paper investigates the intertemporal relation between volatility spreads and expected returns on the aggregate … stock market. We provide evidence for a signi ficantly negative link between volatility spreads and expected returns at the … extreme values. The intertemporal relation remains strongly negative after controlling for conditional volatility, variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038211
This paper investigates the intertemporal relation between volatility spreads and expected returns on the aggregate … stock market. We provide evidence for a significantly negative link between volatility spreads and expected returns at the … extreme values. The intertemporal relation remains strongly negative after controlling for conditional volatility, variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037279
Speculators who wish to bet on higher future volatility often purchase options to “go long volatility.” Should … investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these … questions, we conduct an analysis of the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911343
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
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