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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011573174
volatility of Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST-100). Sample data cover the period from January 2008 to December 2017. The main … nonlinear volatility models (symmetric and asymmetric Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity [GARCH …]-type models) were used to model and estimate BIST-100 volatility in response to political news. The findings of the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012131511
We examine the performance of volatility models that incorporate features such as long (short) memory, regime …-t). Second, we perform a comprehensive panel forecasting analysis of the MSM models as well as other competing volatility models … (GMM) estimation are both suitable for MSM-t models, (ii) empirical panel forecasts of MSM-t models show an improvement …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003864486
Singapore. On the volatility of returns, the changes in oil prices are significant for six markets and they have not much effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257720
Sellers of variance swaps earn time-varying risk premia for their exposure to realized variance, the level of variance swap rates, and the slope of the variance swap curve. To measure risk premia, we estimate a dynamic term structure model that decomposes variance swap rates into expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011523781
market volatility as measured by the VIX. Implying that investor purchase decisions are primarily driven by returns and sale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128717
Observed by more than 1.5 billion Muslims, Ramadan is one of the most celebrated religious rituals in the world. We investigate stock returns during Ramadan for 14 predominantly Muslim countries over the years 1989-2007. The results show that stock returns during Ramadan are significantly higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013134379
While the relationship between oil prices and stock markets is of great interest to economists, previous studies do not differentiate oil-exporting countries from oil-importing countries when they investigate the effects of oil price shocks on stock market returns. In this paper, we address this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096494
intraday volatility dynamics in the Indian market. Modeling intraday volatility dynamics using FFF regressions, we examine the … volatility dynamics. We find that Indian stock market exhibits 'reverse J' shaped intraday volatility with much higher intraday … to small cap stocks. Higher volatility is also observed in the first one-hour of trade after weekends, in the first half …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097346
This article analyzed the presence of long memory in volatility in 5 Asian equity indices namely SENSEX, CNIA, NIKKEI …-sample forecast accuracy. The results confirmed the presence of long memory in both the return and volatility series for all the five … markets under study. Among the group, CNIA and STI showed most persistence in both the return and conditional volatility. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003892