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Behavioral biases like disposition effect and over-confidence have received much attention as a potential driver of numerous anomalies observed in the markets. Also, it has been argued that information uncertainty tends to exacerbate these biases and induce stronger irrational behavior among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099978
For optimal asset allocation, mean-variance investors must learn about the joint dynamics of new and existing asset classes, not only their profitability. Bitcoin's digital gold narrative provides a unique laboratory to test this hypothesis. We find that a decrease in investors' estimate on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217407
We build an equilibrium model to explain why stock return predictability concentrates in bad times. The key feature is that investors use different forecasting models, and hence assess uncertainty differently. As economic conditions deteriorate, uncertainty rises and investors' opinions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721618
Behavioral biases like disposition effect and overconfidence have received much attention as a potential driver of numerous anomalies observed in the markets. Also, it has been argued that information uncertainty tends to exacerbate these biases and induce stronger irrational behavior among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013057707
return. These facts present a challenge to the “standard” asset pricing theory, which assumes that the return on stocks is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013238155
This paper is the first to measure individual investors' realized risk-adjusted performance in structured financial products, which represent one of the key financial innovations in recent times. Based on a large database of trades and portfolio holdings for 10,652 retail investors in discount...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007778
Research suggests that investors fail to fully process changes in return on assets due to their incomplete processing of changes in asset turnover. We propose that investors do not fully process changes in return on assets—stemming from changes in asset turnover—because of their (1) fixation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965083
Analysis of required expected return disclosures by public pension funds in individual asset classes reveals a reliance on past performance in setting return expectations. These extrapolative expectations operate through the expected risk premium and occur across all risky asset classes. Pension...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976289
Adding a stage of signal acquisition to the expected utility model shows that Bayesian updating results in a well defined law of demand for financial information when asset return distributions are conjugate priors to signals such as in the gamma-Poisson case. Signals have a positive marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013318614
In the context of an international portfolio diversification problem, we find that small capitalization equity portfolios become riskier in bear markets, i.e. display negative co-skewness with other stock indices and high co-kurtosis. Because of this feature, a power utility investor ought to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014224782