We show that, in a frictionless and efficient market, an asset pricing model that better describes investors' behavior should better forecast stock index returns. We propose a dividend model that predicts, out-of-sample, 31.3% of the variation in annual dividend growth rates (1976-2015)....

The all-stock equity indices provide important information to market participants for asset allocation and investment performance evaluations. In this paper, we construct market capitalization weighted indexes for each of the 23 countries included in the MSCI World Developed Market index as of...

Existing literature documents that cross-sectional stock returns exhibit both price momentum and earnings momentum. In this paper, we examine whether commonly used style and sector indexes also have momentum patterns. We show that style indexes exhibit strong price momentum, but little evidence...

This research intends to explore the presence of the "turn-of-the-month-effect (TOME)" in the Pakistani stock market. The TOME is the temporary increase in prices of registered shares on the last operating day of the month and the initial 3-4 days of the following month. The selection...

The study of the stock market in a country and the understanding of the influence of stock market crashes within and across the markets has been the subject matter of many researches, academicians and analysts during recent times. In this study we investigate the mean-volatility spillover...

In this paper, we analyze the profitability of investments in stocks from the RESPECT sustainability index at the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE) since its launch in year 2009 until the year 2018. We calculate raw returns for individual component stocks, estimate their beta coefficients as well as...

We find the well-documented U-shaped intraday patterns of stock liquidity, volume, and price volatility for the U.S. stock market have disappeared. Bid-ask spreads tend to decrease, not increase, toward the close of the trading day; trading volume disproportionally concentrates in the last five...

We propose a new and flexible non-parametric framework for estimating the jump tails of Itô semimartingale processes. The approach is based on a relatively simple-to-implement set of estimating equations associated with the compensator for the jump measure, or its "intensity", that only...

The FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index is the flagship index at the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). It captures more than 80% of the total market capitalisation of all the shares listed on the JSE. It is tradable and the liquid ALSI future is listed on this index. A superficial view of the long-term...

The risk return relationship is analysed in bivariate models for return and realised variance (RV) series. Based on daily time series from 21 international market indices for more than 13 years (January 2000 to February 2013), the empirical findings support the arguments of risk return tradeoff,...