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strong performance for VIX futures selling or VIX call writing strategies. However, the high volatility of volatility and … selling of VIX instruments could have substantial volatility jump risk exposure which can result in economically meaningful … buys VIX calls – had lower volatility and less severe maximum drawdowns than the stock and commodity benchmark indexes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870103
Various macroeconomic announcements are known to influence asset price volatility. While contemplating the impact of a … underlying cash market, pushes futures prices lower and volatility higher. Conversely, a higher bid-to-cover ratio, which … employment data as having a significant volatility impact on Treasury futures, and highlight the importance of non farm payrolls …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849805
A growing body of literature confirms the significance of the commodity futures basis factor: It has a significantly positive premium and it explains the cross-section of commodity-futures excess returns. We extend the literature by documenting predictive relation between this factor and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065562
We show that idiosyncratic jumps are a key determinant of mean stock returns from both an ex post and ex ante perspective. Ex post, the entire annual average return of a typical stock accrues on the four days on which its stock price jumps. Ex ante, idiosyncratic jump risk earns a premium: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967984
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors … is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during … major information events. This paper investigates whether the predictability of equity returns by volatility spreads is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
Speculators who wish to bet on higher future volatility often purchase options to “go long volatility.” Should … investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these … questions, we conduct an analysis of the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911343
between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying … idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit independent switches between a high and low volatility regime, we show that the options …' constant expected returns are composed of (i) a state dependent drift term that relates positively with the volatility regime …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109188
exposure to changes in the price of the underlying stock (delta), and exposure to changes in implied volatility (vega) are …-known market, size, book-to-market, momentum, and short-term reversal factors. Additional volatility, stock, and option market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111682
This paper shows that the risk-bearing capacity of U.S. securities brokers and dealers is a strong determinant of risk premia in commodity markets. Commodity derivatives are the principal instrument used by producers and consumers of commodities to hedge against commodity price risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003947918
underlying stock (asset) is subject to discontinuous market regime type of shifts in its mean or volatility whose risk can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013130931