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Forecasting VaR models under different volatility processes and distributions of return innovations
Dendramis, Yiannis; Spungin, Giles E.; Tzavalis, Elias - In: Journal of forecasting 33 (2014) 7, pp. 515-531
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282095
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Modeling dependence structure and forecasting market risk with dynamic asymmetric copula
Cerrato, Mario; Crosby, John; Kim, Minjoo; Zhao, Yang - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011325736
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Option-implied information and predictability of extreme returns
Vilkovz, Grigory; Xiaox, Yan - 2013 - This version: January 28, 2013
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
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Value at risk estimation for heavy tailed distributions
Gammoudi, Imed; BelKacem, Lotfi; El Ghourabi, Mohamed - In: The international journal of business and finance … 8 (2014) 3, pp. 109-125
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010241908
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Comments on: Nonparametric tail risk, stock returns and the macroeconomy
Camponovo, Lorenzo; Scaillet, Olivier; Trojani, Fabio - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011518800
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Volatility modeling and Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting of emerging stock markets in the presence of long memory, asymmetry, and skewed heavy tails
Gencer, Hatice Gaye; Demiralay, Sercan - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 52 (2016) 1/3, pp. 639-657
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011562539
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Modeling manager confidence in forecasted excess returns under active portfolio management
Birge, John R.; Chávez-Bedoya, Luis - In: The journal of asset management 15 (2014) 6, pp. 353-365
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010476259
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Multivariate Nonparametric Estimation of Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall for Nonlinear Returns Using Extreme Value Theory
Brauchler, Ryan - 2012
estimators of market risk. Despite advances in the theory and practice of evaluating risk, existing measures are notoriously poor … extreme value theory (EVT) to propose a multivariate estimation procedure for value-at-risk (VaR) and expected shortfall (ES …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100621
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Forecasting Value-at-Risk in turbulent stock markets via the local regularity of the price process
Frezza, Massimiliano; Bianchi, Sergio; Pianese, Augusto - In: Computational management science 19 (2022) 1, pp. 99-132
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012817299
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Forecasting VaR and ES using a joint quantile regression and its implications in portfolio allocation
Merlo, Luca; Petrella, Lea; Raponi, Valentina - In: Journal of banking & finance 133 (2021), pp. 1-18
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256440