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To examine the familiar tradeoff between risk and return in financial investments, we use a rolling two-stage stochastic program to compare mean-risk optimization models with time series momentum strategies. In a backtest of allocating investment between a market index and a risk-free asset, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247805
The properties of an iterative procedure for the estimation of the parameters of an ARFIMA process are investigated in … a Monte Carlo study. The estimation procedure is applied to stock returns data for 15 countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106073
The Bates (2006) Approximate Maximum Likelihood (AML) method is considered from a practical point of view. Application of the AML method is undertaken using FFT with splines for integration. Results are validated by both simulation and comparison to MCMC literature. The SVJ model is estimated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932241
We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159436
This paper is aimed at presenting application of bootstrap interval estimation methods to the assessment of financial … investment’s effectiveness and risk. At first, we give an overview of various methods of bootstrap confidence interval estimation …, i.e. bootstrap-t interval, percentile interval and BCa interval. Then, bootstrap confidence interval estimation methods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887711
-frequency intraday returns. It disentangles covariance estimation into variance and correlation components. This allows to estimate … covariance estimation and the jump robustness of the estimator are illustrated in a simulation study. In an application to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115577
portfolio theory, the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing model or the RiskMetrics variance-covariance approach to VaR – rest … return ; Random number generation ; Parameter estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008663369
The Simulation-Based Excess Return Model (SERM) offers a simple, practical decision-making method for underwriting real estate development projects. It addresses the shortcomings of discounted cash flow modeling by taking into account the probabilistic distribution of outcomes and is based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147513
The realized power variations with even order of a discretely observed semi-martingale have been widely studied in literature, due to some important applications in finance, for example, estimating the integrated volatility and integrated quarticity. However, few works have paid attention to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013053805
exact volatility measurement equations in state space form and propose a Bayesian estimation approach. Our highly efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339