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In this paper, the impact of investment horizon on asset co-skewness is examined both empirically and theoretically. We detail a strong horizon-based estimation bias for co-skewness. An asset that has positive co-skewness in one horizon may have negative co-skewness in another. This phenomenon...
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Previous studies document statistically significant evidence of crude oil return predictability by several forecasting variables. We suggest that this evidence is misleading and follows from the common use of within-month averages of daily oil prices in calculating returns used in predictive...
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We study the predictability of exchange rates of currencies of emerging and developed economies from 1994 to 2016 to shed light on the efficiency of currency markets and how it evolved over this time. For the currencies of emerging economies, our analysis of futures returns finds some evidence...
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We build on the predictability bounds of Huang et al. (2017) and Potì (2018) to develop an index of informational market inefficiency. This index takes values given by the levels of relative risk aversion (RRA) of the marginal investor such that, net of sampling error at a given confidence...
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Investor aversion to extreme losses may motivate them to seek out investments perceived to function as a safe haven during times of crisis. In this study, we consider the potential for precious metals to mitigate downside risk when combined with equities, and evaluate the impact on portfolio...
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