This paper presents a new robust predictor for option returns: the uncertainty of put-call parity violation (VVS). We find that the delta-hedged equity option return decreases monotonically with VVS. Although VVS is highly correlated with the classical uncertainty and limit-to-arbitrage...

In this paper, motivated by existing and growing evidence on multiple macroeconomic volatilities, we extend the long-run risks model of Bansal and Yaron (2004) by allowing both a long- and a short-run volatility components in the evolution of economic fundamentals. With this extension, the new...

We explore the effects of fundamental extrapolation on stock returns. Empirically, we propose a novel approach to extrapolate firms' fundamental information and find that a strategy based on fundamental extrapolation earns an average return of 0.80% per month. Theoretically, we show that...

In this paper, we propose a stop-loss strategy to limit the downside risk of the well-known momentum strategy. At a stop-level of 10%, we find, with data from January 1926 to December 2013, that the maximum monthly losses of the equal- and value-weighted momentum strategies go down from -49.79%...

We propose a unsupervised learning approach to construct latent factor model for cross sectional asset returns where firm characteristics instrument for the dynamic factor exposures. Firm characteristics are clustered with consideration to their prior economic content. Our method can also be...