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We investigate both theoretically and empirically how unemployment level and its growth affect future stock returns. We find that both a higher unemployment rate and higher growth of unemployment positively predict future stock market returns. In our model, the effects come through their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352081
solutions, all have failed as these attempts implicitly assume perfectly-correct inflation statistics. Examining these … assumptions, we discover that not only are the inflation numbers materially flawed, but more so, there are significant incentives … for government entities to under-report inflation. With this, we find that to explain the Equity Premium Puzzle, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012838903
This paper investigates the factors that affect the covariance between the federal funds rate and stock returns. I estimate a VAR system and implement covariance decomposition analysis. Most of the covariance between the federal funds rate and stock returns is affected by changes in stock market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125852
Objective - To explore the impacts of monetary and fiscal policies, the appropriateness of both policies and how the stock market is affected by their adoption and implementation in the United States (US). Hence, this study aims to determine the short and long run relationships between monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223172
negative correlation between consumption and inflation from 1971 to 2000 and the positive one after 2000, and (3) the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012294741
real and nominal risk premia through endogenous inflation. The estimated model captures macroeconomic and yield curve … properties of the U.S. economy, implying significantly positive real term and inflation risk bond premia. Both premia are induced … by wage rigidities as a compensation for permanent productivity shocks. Stronger policy-rule responses to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011742064
evidence for monetary policy and inflation expectations with a special emphasis on market-specific characteristics that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581407
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001502713