We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are implemented with two Random Forest models. One model is...

Forecasting changes in stock prices is extremely challenging given that numerous factors cause these prices to fuctuate. The random walk hypothesis and efcient market hypothesis essentially state that it is not possible to systematically, reliably predict future stock prices or forecast changes...

This paper develops ensemble machine learning models (XGBoost, Gradient Boosting, and AdaBoost in addition to Random Forest) for predicting stock returns of Indian banks using technical indicators. These indicators are based on three broad categories of technical analysis: Price, Volume, and...