The determination of leading indicators of stock market returns is of interest to both practitioners and academics. This paper analyses the validity of the recent macroeconomic factors indicated in the literature as providing a reliable indication of Australian stock market returns and concludes...

In this paper, we will investigate whether there is any Sharpe ratio rule or Omega ratio rule that can be used to show that one asset outperforms another asset if it has a higher Sharpe ratio and/or Omega ratio. We find that Sharpe ratio rule could not detect preference of both risk averters and...

Rationally justifying Bitcoin's immense price fluctuations has remained a persistent challenge for both investors and researchers in this field. A primary reason is our potential weakness toward robustly quantifying unquantifiable risks or ambiguity in Bitcoin returns. This paper introduces a...

Both stochastic dominance and Omegaratio can be used to examine whether the market is efficient, whether there is any arbitrage opportunity in the market and whether there is any anomaly in the market. In this paper, we first study the relationship between stochastic dominance and the Omega...

In this paper, we will investigate whether there is any Sharpe ratio rule or Omega ratio rule that can be used to show that one asset outperforms another asset if it has a higher Sharpe ratio and/or Omega ratio. We find that Sharpe ratio rule could not detect preference of both risk averters and...

Using 'business cycle accounting' (BCA), Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2006) (CKM) conclude that models of financial frictions which create a wedge in the intertemporal Euler equation are not promising avenues for modeling business cycle dynamics. There are two reasons that this conclusion is not...

We examine the liquidity provision premium in cryptocurrency markets using the returns from the short reversal strategy suggested by Nagel (2012). We show that the VIX index, economic policy uncertainty (EPU) index, crash risk, tail risk, and the innovations of Tether liquidity can predict the...

In the paper, we research on the presence of long-range dependence in returns and volatility of BUX, PX and WIG between years 1997 and 2009 with use of classical and modified rescaled range. Moving block bootstrap with pre-whitening and postblackening is used for the construction of confidence...

A well-documented empirical result is that market expectations extracted from futures contracts on the federal funds rate are among the best predictors for the future course of monetary policy. We show how this information can be exploited to produce accurate forecasts of bond excess returns and...