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Speculators who wish to bet on higher future volatility often purchase options to “go long volatility.” Should … investors who buy options expect to profit when realized volatility increases? If so, under what conditions? To answer these … questions, we conduct an analysis of the relationship between long volatility performance (buying options) and contemporaneous …
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evolve, many investors continue to forecast volatility using traditional approaches that are ill-suited to the time …-changing nature of volatility. In this paper, I analyze the performance of seven different multivariate-volatility models using a new … poorly when trying to forecast short-term volatility, and that a more dynamic model often provides superior out …
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This paper improves continuous-time variance swap approximation formulas to derive exact returns on benchmark VIX option portfolios. The new methodology preserves the variance swap interpretation that decomposes returns into realized variance and option implied-variance.We apply this new...
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