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We investigate investor's correlated attention as a determinant of excess stock market comovement. We propose a novel proxy, "co-attention", that measures the correlation in demand for market-wide information across stock markets approximated by the Google Search Volume Index (SVI). Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941907
Using the "Dragon and Tiger" list, we construct a clean indicator that directly measures investor attention, empirically test the effect of investor attention on stock return under negative shocks and whether the effect is affected by the bull or bear market, the industry, firm size, age and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012270507
This paper documents that the payoffs from investing in growth stocks, as measured by the decile-rank distributions (DRD) of future revenues, earnings, investment, as well as stock returns, follow a bimodal U-shaped distribution. By contrast, the DRD of value stocks follow a traditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014238639
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383579
Investors' return expectations are pivotal in stock markets, but the reasoning behind these expectations remains a black box for economists. This paper sheds light on economic agents' mental models - their subjective understanding - of the stock market, drawing on surveys with the US general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014416010
Concentrating on speculative flow rather than stock demand, the paper puts forward a deterministic continuous-time model of the equity market that is compatible with a growing and inflationary economy. Instead of the systematically rising equity price, the central state variable in now Tobin's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406891
The half-life is used to estimate the adjustment speed of a variable to a new equilibrium point after being affected by the impulse response of a unit of shocks. The paper examines the adjustment speed of COVID19, investor sentiment, and the stock market through half-life estimates over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014439454
The purpose of this research is to examine the impact of sentiment derived from news headlines on the direction of stock price changes. The study examines stocks listed on the WIG-banking sub-sector index on the Warsaw Stock Exchange. Two types of data were used: textual and market data. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887921
The Baker and Wurgler (2006) sentiment index purports to measure irrational investor sentiment, while the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is designed to largely reflect fundamentals. Removing this fundamental component from the Baker and Wurgler index creates an index of investor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011312208
The paper proposes an elementary agent-based asset pricing model that, invoking the two trader types of fundamentalists and chartists, comprises four features: (i) price determination by excess demand; (ii) a herding mechanism that gives rise to a macroscopic adjustment equation for the market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009424773