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Dollar carry trade risk premiums – unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums – are positively correlated with firm-level dispersions in investment, profitability, and book-to-market in addition to the Treasury-bill rate, long term bond yield, term spread, and default...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242629
Dollar carry trade risk premiums - unlike dollar-neutral or foreign exchange carry risk premiums - are positively correlated with firm-level dispersions in investment, profitability, and book-to-market in addition to the Treasury-bill rate, long term bond yield, term spread, and default spread....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242806
A dynamic model featuring a stochastic technology frontier shows significant impact of technology adoption for asset prices. In equilibrium, firms operating with old capital are riskier because costly technology adoption restricts their flexibilities in upgrading to the latest technology, making...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010531879
I study the cross sectional variation of stock returns and technological progress using a dynamic equilibrium model with production. In the model, technological progress is endogenously driven by Ramp;D investment and is composed of two parts. One part is product innovation devoted to creating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697758
We explore the relationship between sticky wages and risk. Like operating leverage, sticky wages are a source of risk for the firm. Firms, industries, regions, or times with especially high or rigid wages are especially risky. If wages are sticky, then wage growth should negatively forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697776
We study the impact of labor market frictions on asset prices. In the cross section of U.S. firms, a 10 percentage points increase in the firm's hiring rate is associated with a 1.5 percentage points decrease in the firm's annual risk premium. We propose an investment-based model with stochastic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697801
This paper provides new evidence about the link between firm level total factor productivity (TFP) and stock returns. We estimate firm level TFP and show that it is strongly related to several firm characteristics such as size, the book to market ratio, investment, and hiring rate. Low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013093807
Firms winning the R&D 100 Award, a prestigious award for technology breakthroughs in product inventions, provide significantly higher subsequent stock returns. We hypothesize that such return predictability stems from the awarded firms' access to high-end markets in segmented markets. We develop...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900244
Medical innovation enhances labor health, promotes human capital productivity, and influences asset prices. Using a manually collected dataset on drug approvals to identify medical innovation, I first confirm its direct impact on human capital -- a higher medical innovation shock predicts a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901148
I present a production-based general equilibrium model that jointly prices bond and stock returns. The model produces time-varying correlation between stock and long-term default-free real bond returns that changes in both magnitude and sign. The real term premium is also time-varying and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904335