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Measuring biases in expectation formation
Peters, Florian; Kucinskas, Simas - 2018
detect biases in empirically relevant settings. We illustrate the methodology using data on inflation forecasts. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011869992
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Comparison of multifactor asset pricing models in the South African stock market [2000-2016]
Mukoyi, Lenia; Kanayo, Ogujiuba - In: Journal of risk and financial management : JRFM 16 (2023) 1, pp. 1-22
The quest for parsimonious models has been a key objective in asset pricing. However, there appears to be no consensus on the most successful asset pricing strategy in the literature, especially for the South African Market. Using financial statements from January 2000 to December 2015, this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014301573
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Stock Returns, Market Trends, and Information Theory : A Statistical Equilibrium Approach
Citera, Emanuele - 2021
This paper attempts to develop a theory of statistical equilibrium based on an entropy-constrained framework, that allow us to explain the distribution of stock returns overdi erent market trends. By making use of the Quantal Response Statistical Equilib-rium model (Scharfenaker and Foley,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210881
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Can google search volume index predict the returns and trading volumes of stocks in a retail investor dominant market
Lai, Huei-Hwa; Chang, Tzu-pu; Hu, Cheng-Han; Chou, Po-Ching - In: Cogent economics & finance 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-18
This research examines whether Google search volume index (GSVI), a proxy of investor attention, can predict the excess returns and abnormal trading volumes of TPEx 50 index constituents. It also explores the motive underlying GSVI based on positive or negative shocks to stock prices. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013464702
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Bitcoin Sentiment Index and Stock Market Return
Soomro, Najma Ali; Oad Rajput, Suresh Kumar; Soomro, … - 2021
The returns predictions and price movements of financial markets are predicted through online search engines. These search engines claim to trade sentiments of individual investors. This study aims to determine the changes in the American stock market returns due to Bitcoin investors’...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228545
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Asymmetry in volatility : a comparison of developed and transition stock markets
Wdowinski, Piotr; Malecka, Marta - 2010
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003942099
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FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index Long-Term Returns
Kotze, Antonie - 2017
The FTSE/JSE Top 40 Index is the flagship index at the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). It captures more than 80% of the total market capitalisation of all the shares listed on the JSE. It is tradable and the liquid ALSI future is listed on this index. A superficial view of the long-term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012955234
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Bootstrapping time-varying uncertainty intervals for extreme daily return periods
Makatjane, Katleho - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which are based on a weighted threshold and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804913
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Asymmetry in Volatility : A Comparison of Developed and Transition Stock Markets
Wdowinski, Piotr; Malecka, Marta - 2021
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to econometric model building in the field of financial time series with time-varying variance. The main idea of the models was to describe the most typical features of capital markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316234
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Capital market returns and inflation nexus in Croatia : wavelet coherence analysis
Bošnjak, Mile; Novak, Ivan; Bašić, Maja - In: Business systems research : a system view accross … 12 (2021) 2, pp. 253-267
Background: Hedging against inflation assumes instruments such as gold, stocks, fixed income securities, and real … estate. There still exists a lack of appropriate strategy to hedge against inflation. Objectives: This paper examines the … possibilities for hedging against inflation in Croatia offered by the Zagreb Stock Exchange indices. Methods/Approach: Based on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325399