We argue that the economy of the industrialized world taken as a whole is currently - and for the foreseeable future will remain - highly prone to secular stagnation. But for extraordinary fiscal policies, real interest rates would have fallen much more and be far below their current slightly...

Conditions of secular stagnation - low interest rates, below target inflation, and sluggish output growth - now characterize much of the global economy. We consider a simple two-country textbook model to examine how capital markets transmit secular stagnation and to study policy externalities...