The paper investigates the impact of jumps in forecasting co-volatility, accommodating leverage effects. We modify the jump-robust two time scale covariance estimator of Boudt and Zhang (2013)such that the estimated matrix is positive definite. Using this approach we can disentangle the...

The phrase long-term investing in triple leveraged ETFs is somewhat of an anathema for investment academicians. As a result of daily rebalancing and so-called beta slippage or “the constant leverage trap” it is highly likely over the long term to significantly deviate from the targeted...

We propose a joint modeling strategy for timing the joint distribution of the returns and their volatility. We do this by incorporating the potentially asymmetric links into the system of 'independent' predictive regressions of returns and volatility, allowing for asymmetric cross-correlations,...

This work documents the existence of a cointegration relationship between credit spreads, leverage and equity volatility for a large set of US companies. It is shown that accounting for the long-run equilibrium dynamic between these variables is essential to correctly explain credit spread...

This article is devoted to the exploration of the mechanism of making decision about the company's financing structure. It is shown that the interaction between various financial characteristics of company plays statistically significant role in the capital structure determination. Namely their...

The aim of this paper is to build and estimate a macroeconomic model of credit risk for the French manufacturing sector. This model is based on Wilson's CreditPortfolioView model (1997a, 1997b); it enables us to simulate loss distributions for a credit portfolio for several macroeconomic...

Do changes in the marginal tax rate of corporations affect their investment? Using a unique dataset on balance sheet and income of firms from 1956-2008 and a new measure of exogenous changes in corporations marginal tax rate, this paper shows that the investment response of large firms to a...

We consider a risky country having bonds outstanding both in foreign hard currency (Eurobonds) and local soft currency (treasuries). This is done under an enhanced structural credit risk Merton style model. The liability side the sovereign balance sheet is composed of three tranches in...

We build an enhanced structural credit risk Merton style model for a risky sovereign having both domestic and foreign debt outstanding. If earlier research was mainly focused on the fundamental values of the respective local and foreign currency bonds, here we move forward by elaborating on...

We build a structural credit risk model for a risky sovereign having both domestic and foreign debt outstanding. The country is subject to default risk, has a soft currency, and can be viewed as a small open emerging market economy. The domestic debt is composed of local soft currency...