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Are financial cycles an international phenomenon, and, if so, how do financial cycles interact? This letter provides new evidence for the US and the UK. Considering the properties of the data in both the time and the frequency domains, we find a strong relation between the financial cycles of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529345
This paper investigates and analyzes the long-run equilibrium relationship between the Thai stock Exchange Index (SETI) and selected macroeconomic variables using monthly time series data that cover a 20-year period from January 1990 to December 2009. The following macroeconomic variables are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010406272
-series techniques were used which include Cointegration, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), Impulse Response Functions (IRF) and … Variance Decompositions (VDC). Cointegration analysis, along with the VECM, suggests that interest rates, crude oil prices and … Prices ; Macroeconomic Factors ; Dhaka Stock Exchange ; Cointegration ; VEC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009737188
:Q4). Long Run Granger Causality Test, Johansen's Cointegration Test (both Bivariate & Multivariate) and Vector Error … for all the macroeconomic variables. Johansen's Cointegration results suggest presence of long run equilibrium … difference in cointegration results in pre and post crisis periods except for Inflation and Interest rate, implying that global …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995658
This contribution investigates the business cycles of Switzerland compared to its five neighboring countries Germany, Austria, Italy, France and Liechtenstein. In contrast to the widespread notion of small countries "importing" the business cycle from bigger neighbors, it is shown that the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011427978
In recent times, a large number of studies has investigated the empirical properties of financial cycles within countries, mainly based on band-pass filter techniques. The contribution of this paper to the literature is twofold. First, in contrast to most existing studies in the financial cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011710009
testing for Granger-causality and cointegration tests. This approach provides a measure for the strength (decisiveness) of … causality and cointegration between the variables of interest. As an illustration of our methodology, we reexamine the case of … bivariate relationship between money and income in Canada. -- Schwarz criterion ; Cointegration ; Granger-causality ; Posterior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001783594
The purpose of this paper is the determination of sources and pattern of business cycle in Turkey throughout the period 1988-2002 using quarterly data. The question of the paper is "Has financial liberalization increased the fragility of the financial and real sides of the Turkish economy?". The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011529029
This study investigates the stock price-economic activity nexus in 12 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) by employing monthly data over the period 1981:1-2018:3. For this purpose, the study uses Granger causality in the frequency domain in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429266
Background An econometric analysis of the twin deficit hypothesis is of special importance for the Republic of North Macedonia in view of its perspective membership in the European Union and from the point of view of its macroeconomic stability in the long run. Objectives The objective of this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012414405