Showing 1 - 10 of 1,360
their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063951
their forecasting properties for the policy rates of the European Central Bank. In this respect the basic rules, results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012034314
It has been proposed that central banks should target Nominal GDP (NGDP),as an alternative to targeting the money … a nominal GDP target, which automatically divides an adverse supply shock equally between impacts on inflation and real … GDP. The argument can be illustrated in a model where the ultimate objective is minimizing a quadratic loss function in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941568
reflect ex ante skill or other factors impacting ex post sampling variation such as the nature of economic shocks that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012156473
This paper proposes an econometric framework for nowcasting the monetary policy stance and decisions of the European Central Bank (ECB) exploiting the ow of conventional and textual data that become available between two consecutive press conferences. Decompositions of the updated nowcasts into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012648896
There are many indications that formal methods are not used to their full potential by central banks today. In this paper we demonstrate how BVAR and DSGE models can be used to shed light on questions that policy makers deal with in practice using data from Sweden. We compare the forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011585648
This paper discusses the significance of Central Bank of Nigeria's (CBN) monetary aggregates in the implementation of monetary policy. The Analytical Balance Sheet and monetary survey are shown to be useful tools in the analysis of monetary and credit developments in the economy. It also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011476106
the three latent decisions. This approach identi fies the driving factors and probabilities of three types of zeros: the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007587
quarterly gross domestic product (GDP) of Germany. First, ECB presidents' speeches are analysed to obtain the emotion indicators … mixed frequency data and the nowcasting model estimation for GDP is performed with these data using the expectation … forecast scenario is performed to demonstrate the effects of emotion indicators in the nowcasting model of GDP which shows a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391255
; disagreement ; survey expectations ; monetary policy ; inflation targeting ; central bank communication ; forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969574