Showing 1 - 10 of 2,152
This paper estimates forward-looking monetary policy rules to examine the interest rate setting behavior of the State Bank of Pakistan. Considering the external constraints on monetary policy, core inflation and a country-specific measure of the output gap, we demonstrate that the State Bank of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010572343
This paper investigates the information content of the Norges Bank's key rate projections. Wavelet spectrum estimates provide the basis for estimating jump probabilities of short- and long-term interest rates on monetary policy announcement days before and after the introduction of key rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008771354
The publication of a projected path of future policy decisions by central banks is a controversially debated method to improve monetary policy guidance. This paper suggests a new approach to evaluate the impact of the guidance strategy on the predictability of monetary policy. Using the example...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009732267
This paper shows that the Fed reacts to change in spreads between corporate bond yields and government bond yields over and beyond their information content on future inflation and future activity. This result, obtained in a GMM framework, is confirmed by simulation methods. Moreover, when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136336
The objective of this research paper is to analyze if exchange rate interventions that the Central Bank of Mexico had during the 2008-2009 financial crisis influenced the Mexican Peso-US Dollar exchange rate market expectations. Expectations are gauged by Risk-Neutral Densities (RNDs) extracted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120779
We provide a new perspective on disagreement in inflation expectations by examining the full probability distributions of UK consumer inflation forecasts based on an adaptive bootstrap multimodality test. Furthermore, we compare the inflation forecasts of the Bank of England's Monetary Policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013067922
We introduce machine learning in the context of central banking and policy analyses. Our aim is to give an overview broad enough to allow the reader to place machine learning within the wider range of statistical modelling and computational analyses, and provide an idea of its scope and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948433
An important question for the major central banks of the industrialized world is how to design desirable strategies to exit quantitative easing (QE). At the exit, if a central bank needs to reduce rapidly the liquidity created by its balance sheet expansion, issuing new interest-bearing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547809
Although there are currently four retail central bank digital currencies in circulation, no central bank has yet issued the wholesale form of a central bank digital currency. There are good reasons to do so, however, and central banks have already conducted projects in this area. A wholesale...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014485127
This paper analyzes empirically differences in the size of central bank boards (or monetary policy committees) across countries. We discuss the possible determinants of a board’s size. The empirical relevance of these factors is examined using a new dataset that covers the de jure membership...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003726092