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The inability of central banks to attain their target inflation rates in recent years has raised questions about the … extent to which central banks can control the inflation process. This paper discusses the evolution of thought and evidence … since the 1960s on the determinants of inflation and the role that should be played by central banks. The paper highlights …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012615951
reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230450
We explain the role of the Phillips Curve in the analysis of the economic outlook and the formulation of monetary policy at the ECB. First, revisiting the structural Phillips Curve, we highlight the challenges in recovering structural parameters from reduced-form estimates and relate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012212851
This paper argues that, with a flat Phillips curve, welfare can be improved if the Central Bank stabilizes the output gap directly. The pursuit of price stability may, in fact, increase price stickiness, flatten the Phillips curve further, increase the distortions due to sticky prices, and lead...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014235795
A pre-test of Ramsey optimal policy versus time-consistent policy rejects time-consistent policy and (optimal) simple rule for the U.S. Fed during 1960 to 2006, assuming the reference new-Keynesian Phillips curve transmission mechanism with auto-correlated cost-push shock. The number of reduced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597921
Ramsey optimal policy models the persistence of inflation, output gap and federal funds rate without requiring two additional … parameters for inflation indexation and habit persistence. The number of reduced form parameters is larger with Ramsey optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011721067
reputation of central banks. Thus, central banks should not try to bring inflation back to the targeted level of 2%. Rather, they …Inflation in advanced economies is low by historical standards but there is no threat of deflation. Slower economic … growth is caused by supply-side constraints rather than low inflation. Below-the-target inflation does not damage the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835734
We assess empirically whether monetary policy announcements impact firm expectations. Two features of our data set are key. First, we rely on a survey of production and price expectations of German firms, that is, expectations of actual price setters. Second, we observe the day on which firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012159806
policy shock and decrease their inflation expectations 12 months ahead by -0.25%. With no credibility, they interpret it as … an information effect and increase their inflation expectations by 0.57%. We also document three stylized facts …: noneffective inflation target tolerance intervals during periods of low credibility, a loss of credibility has a long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014355112
inflation and output stabilisation mandates of the CBN. The study also finds that inclusion of more instruments in the CBN … therefore emphasises the difficulty of the CBN to effectively manage inflation and output stabilisation simultaneously, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014516037